Ariel Ulrich, Blog Post #4
Climate Change and the Paris Agreement
This past summer I was walking with friends around New York City and I remember we were in a small park-like area of the city, I am not certain where, and I looked up at one of the imposing buildings looming overhead and saw a clock that was counting down. At that point in time I think the clock read something like 6 years, 107 days, and some hours:minutes:seconds. I remember being slightly confused on what the clock was counting down to, until later I researched it and found out it was known as the Climate Clock. It was made possible by scientists, artists, educators, and activists across the world to remind everyone walking past just how much longer we have until it is too late to fix the damage we have done to our planet and climate change becomes irreversible. Not all hope is lost yet, however. In December of 2015, 192 countries and the European Union joined the Paris Agreement to reduce the emissions of greenhouse gasses and prevent the global average temperature from rising 2° Celsius above pre industrial levels. But will this be enough? If we continue heading the direction we are and do not strive to do better, the results will be catastrophic.
Since the late 1980s, the world’s countries have started becoming more environmentally focused and have begun to recognize the problems industrialization has caused. They started with the Montreal Protocol to reduce the damage that had been caused to the Ozone layer and that was such a success, that the world’s countries thought to try to strive for something bigger. They created the Kyoto Protocol to combat climate change, but it failed miserably. There were many reasons for this including lack of easy fixes and the US pulling out and countries not being able to see eye to eye on who was really responsible. Luckily, this did not stop everyone from wanting to try again. In 2009, the world’s countries met again and formed the Copenhagen Agreement. This was essentially an acknowledgement of climate change existing and the consensus that something should be done about it. Yet, it also failed because it lacked the plans on what and how that something should be done. So then in 2015, the world’s leaders met up for the third time to try and fix the issue and they unanimously settled on the Paris Agreement. However, this ground work should only be looked at as a beginning and there is much more to be done.
The Paris Agreement has a goal that recognizes that we have to keep the average global temperature from reaching 2° Celsius above where it was before industrialization or, even better, to keep that number below 1.5°C. It also has a goal for the global amount of greenhouse gasses emitted to equal the amount being removed from the atmosphere, also known as becoming carbon neutral. If the first part of these goals are not met, there will be dire consequences. Earth would face severe heat waves, droughts and floods. The seas would also rise and become more acidic and 90% of coral reefs would be lost. Additionally, the arctic ice would thaw out and species around the world could face extinction. The Paris Agreement proposed a five year annual check in to look over each county's Nationally Determined Contributions and its progress. The problem with this is that each country is free to set its own targets and there are no enforcement mechanisms to ensure that each country meets its own or the Paris Agreement standards and goals. Fortunately, unlike its predecessors, the Paris Agreement does actually appear to be working and countries have been cutting emissions. But unfortunately, it is not enough. The Paris agreement was designed as a means and not an end. It provides the context for a country’s actions but not the actions itself. “It [only] provides the infrastructure to do more: to do better.”(Hoffmann, 2022)
The average global temperature has already reached approximately 1.1°C above pre industrial levels and we will reach 1.5°C in the next two decades if we remain as we are. Some activists have suggested bringing about changes on a smaller scope than focusing on countries as a whole. They have called upon cities, NGOs, international companies and organizations to change the way they operate and institute change at these smaller parts of the greater whole. Over 600 local governments in the United States alone have responded by creating and implementing climate change action plans and investors have started placing their money into more environmentally conscious areas. Additionally, company giants such as Amazon and Starbucks have made big commitments to become carbon neutral or even carbon negative. Though many critics of this argue that this is only these companies greenwashing themselves so they appear eco-conscious and draw in more business. These plans are all well and good, but these suggested smaller changes still pale in comparison to what could result from a country implementing strict climate policies.
Other suggestions, more geared towards the bigger whole, include having a world wide Climate Club for countries that could hold them accountable for not meeting obligations or not joining. States could also institute new treaties with one another that include applying limitations to the amount of emissions accepted or sectors to compliment the Paris Agreement. But these solutions are always much easier to just sit around and discuss than to take action on.
As I write this essay, the Climate Change clock stands at 7 years 93 days 22 hours 1 minute and 5 seconds. Yes, we have been able to buy back some time since I saw the clock in person, but it is still not enough. Our current climate change prevention plans are not ambitious enough and we do not have enough time for us to flit around like we have been. Action needs to be taken now; this problem needs to be fixed now. Over the last 150 years, through the burning of fossil fuels and deforestation, we have been slowly killing our planet. This is it. There is no Planet B, despite Elon Musk’s plans to colonize Mars. This is an issue that is and will continue to affect us all and without rigorous reform and action, we are all screwed.
References
(2020, September). Climate Clock. Retrieved April, 2022, from https://climateclock.world/
Figueres, C., & TED. (2016, May 11). The inside story of the Paris climate agreement. YouTube. Retrieved April, 2022, from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MIA_1xQc7x8
Hoffmann, M. (2022, January 6). The Paris Agreement is working as intended, but we've still got a long way to go. The Conversation. Retrieved April, 2022, from https://theconversation.com/the-paris-agreement-is-working-as-intended-but-weve-still-got-a-long-way-to-go-173478
Maizland, L., & Hill, A. C. (2021, November 17). Global Climate Agreements: Successes and Failures. Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved April, 2022, from https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/paris-global-climate-change-agreements
The Paris Agreement | United Nations. (n.d.). the United Nations. Retrieved April, 2022, from https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/paris-agreement
UN Climate Change. (2020, September 24). Ever wondered: What is the 'Paris Agreement', and how does it work? YouTube. Retrieved April, 2022, from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WiGD0OgK2ug
I wrote about this same issue in my blog post but I did not know about the small scale actions taken by mayors, governors, etc. compared to national leaders. I agree with your assertion that unless nations step up and take definitive action, we will all find ourselves in dire straits very soon. However, I argued that the current agreement (the Paris Climate Accord) is not strong enough since countries can dictate their own policies and change the goalposts as they please. Do you think that incentives or punishments should be added into the agreement? Would either one of these methods help to hold countries accountable and encourage them to take action and save our planet? I fear that this may be too authoritarian of a solution, and doing this may actually push countries away from coming to the table willing to cooperate and collaborate.
ReplyDeleteI agree that adding in punishments would not be the best course of action and could have and adverse impact on what we should be trying to achieve. I do think incentives could work but yet again, that may not work. Honestly I do not see why saving our planet is incentive enough, but hopefully states will start working towards the better soon.
DeleteThis is a very interesting blog post! I had no idea about the clock until reading your post. I feel like as we become more and more industrialized, the current time that we are at might be the best that we are going to get. Your point about needing to make changes now is very strong and I agree with it 100%. Although coordination and cooperation issues have currently created a standstill, enforcing strict requirements is needed in order to actually make a change.
ReplyDeleteI agree that it seems strict requirements is what is needed, but I am not entirely certain that would be enough. Dealing with states is kind of like dealing with children. They will do what they want and if you tell them to do something and make it strictly required, it makes them not want to do it. I just hope that world leaders wake up and realize this is a problem, though that seems unlikely.
DeleteI thought that this was a really cool blog post. I have actually seen the same clock, but I didn't know what it was until now. I also did not know that countries had tried multiple times to form something as effective as the Paris Agreement. I also find it absolutely crazy that the average world temperature will rise above 1.5 degrees Celsius from pre-industrial levels in the next two decades. I totally agree about your argument calling for immediate action to be taken since the Paris Agreement is only doing so much, but I feel as though, right now, it might be unattainable since time is running out. I think that countries and their governments and other NGOs have to have better coordination if we want to stop this very pressing issue.
ReplyDeleteUnfortunately, I agree that fixing this seems unattainable and I am truly worried about what will happen next.
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